Macgregor: Conflict with Iran Will Yield No Gains
Tehran - BORNA - Colonel Douglas Macgregor, former Senior Advisor to the U.S. Secretary of Defense, analyzed the dangerous dimensions of military confrontation in the Middle East during an interview with the "Judge Napolitano" channel. The interview took place shortly before the meeting between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. President Donald Trump.
Commenting on the meeting between U.S. and Israeli officials, he stated: "In his meeting with Trump, Netanyahu attempted to discuss the critical issue of 'burden sharing' in a war against Iran. The reality is that this military campaign is designed not for a simple change in behavior, but to trigger a collapse within the country."
The former senior Pentagon official added: "When the goal is the collapse of a nation, the target list is not necessarily military; it includes critical infrastructure such as water resources, food production, ports, and power plants. Netanyahu seeks to secure Washington’s approval under the cover of a war with Iran to advance his unfinished objectives in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria."
Tehran’s Warning Against Tel Aviv’s Sabotage of Negotiations
This candid analysis by the former military official comes as senior officials of the Islamic Republic of Iran have warned in recent days against the destructive moves of the Zionist regime regarding the diplomatic process.
In this regard, Iranian Foreign Minister Sayyid Abbas Araghchi, referring to ongoing negotiations between Iran and the U.S., emphasized that Netanyahu is the greatest obstacle to any diplomatic agreement. He stressed that by fueling military tensions, Netanyahu seeks to destroy the atmosphere of negotiations and drag Washington into an unwanted conflict.
Furthermore, Ali Larijani, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, pointed to the objectives of Netanyahu's trip to Washington and warned against the Zionist regime's scenarios aimed at deadlocking the path of diplomacy. Larijani emphasized that the Zionist regime is attempting to overshadow rational will in the negotiations by providing misinformation—a warning that directly aligns with Macgregor’s analysis of Netanyahu’s efforts to convince Trump to "share the burden of war."
Following yesterday's meeting between Netanyahu and Trump, the U.S. President wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social: "No definite results were reached regarding Iran, except that I insisted that negotiations with Iran continue to see if a deal can be reached. If it can, I will inform the Prime Minister that this option would be our preference. If not, we will just have to see what the result will be."
The Illusion of a "Quick Operation" and Iran’s Modern Defenses
While Trump issued implied threats, Macgregor criticized simplistic estimates in Washington: "President Trump is likely looking for a quick 'in-and-out' operation; however, there is no such thing as a quick operation regarding Iran. Our Navy currently faces severe limitations; we only have a 10-day to 2-week supply of missiles and lack rapid mass production capacity. The Air Force will also run out of steam after a few days of heavy operations."
Referring to the strengthening of Iran’s defensive capabilities, he added: "The Iranians are now equipped with modern air defense systems like the HQ-9B, which has the capability to detect our stealth aircraft. This time, unlike in the past, they will show no restraint in responding to any aggression."
Global Consequences: From Gas Prices to the Potential Entry of Chinese Submarines
Referring to the possibility of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz following the start of any regional war, Macgregor warned of the economic fallout: "Should this happen, there will be no ceiling on gas prices in the U.S. market. On the other hand, Moscow and Beijing have a vital interest in Iran’s survival. The Russians will likely come to Iran’s aid immediately with intelligence and military support, and the Chinese, if they feel their energy security is at risk, may deploy submarines to the region—a challenge the U.S. Navy is not adequately prepared to handle."
The Failure of Infiltration Projects via "Starlink"
The former Pentagon official, pointing to recent developments in Iran, disclosed details regarding the "failure of recent intelligence operations" against Tehran: "Israel attempted to provoke internal unrest in Iran using thousands of Starlink terminals, but with the tracking of this equipment, the plot was neutralized. Any claim that Iran has been weakened is now a pure lie."
Concluding with advice for Trump to learn from the history of Eisenhower and Kennedy, Macgregor noted that entering this conflict would not only yield no gains but would also destroy the negotiating table and push Iran and other nations toward strengthening their nuclear deterrence. "In the event of a new war, countries around the world will come to believe that they have no choice but to build nuclear weapons to defend themselves," he concluded.
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