Ian Bremmer: Trump Severely Underestimated Iran’s Military Prowess

Tehran - BORNA - In an exclusive interview with India Today, Bremmer analyzed the ongoing crisis and the high-stakes peace negotiations currently underway in Islamabad. the analyst asserted that the "Iran War" stands as the biggest mistake Trump has made across both of his presidential terms.

Miscalculating Iran’s Deterrence

Bremmer highlighted that the U.S. administration’s initial strategy was built on a flawed premise. "Trump underestimated Iran’s military capabilities and its ability to disrupt the Strait of Hormuz," Bremmer stated. "The President assumed Iran would surrender in the face of airstrikes, but Tehran proved the opposite by closing the Strait and targeting U.S. bases."

The geopolitical expert noted that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz—a direct consequence of U.S.-Israeli aggression—has sent global oil prices soaring above $110 per barrel, fueling inflation and forcing Washington to reconsider its military approach.

A key takeaway from Bremmer’s analysis is the growing rift between U.S. and Israeli objectives. He observed that "the goals of the U.S. and Israel are no longer aligned." While Israel continues its military operations in Lebanon, the United States is now actively seeking a diplomatic exit strategy to mitigate further economic and political fallout.

Pakistan’s Role and Global Risks

Bremmer praised Pakistan’s role as a "pioneer in regional peacemaking," commending Islamabad’s efforts to facilitate the current ceasefire and the subsequent negotiations.

However, the Eurasia Group chief issued a stark warning: if the diplomatic process fails and the conflict resumes, the global economy could be pushed into a deep recession. This assessment aligns with previous warnings from financial experts regarding the fragility of global supply chains and energy security in the wake of the 40-day "Ramadan War."

End Article